Archive for July, 2014

Vancouver’s Shaughnessy Heights is B.C.’s wealthiest neighbourhood

Monday, July 28th, 2014

It may not be the wealthiest city in Canada, but Vancouver is certainly one of them. And it’s also one of the most expensive to live in.

The city’s Shaughnessy Heights area – located west of Granville Street, from West 29th to West 39th avenue – is the country’s third-priciest real estate market with an average house price of $3.09 million, according to Canadian Business magazine.

The publication ranked Shaughnessy Heights as the fourth-wealthiest area in Canada and the wealthiest in B.C. in its Top 25 of Canada’s Richest Neighbourhoods, for 2014. It also had the highest average house price of the ranking’s top five neighbourhoods.

“In the nosebleed-inducing world of Vancouver real estate, Shaughnessy Heights still manages to stand out,” the ranking says. According to Canadian Business, the area has an average household net worth of $12.00 million – hefty, but not nearly as much as those above it.

Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver were the only cities in the top 10, perhaps not surprisingly.

Toronto also had the top three on the list, with Sunnybrook (average household net worth, $20.82 million) and York Mills-Windfields ($21.55 million) coming behind The Bridle Path, a neighbourhood with an average household net worth of $22.27 million.

“The residents of the wooded manors in Canada’s richest neighbourhood are as likely to be found abroad as at home,” reads the writeup on CB, noting that The Bridle Path’s residents are often on vacation or in Toronto at the city’s high-culture scene at galleries or the ballet.

“With one recently-auctioned 14-bedroom, two-pool mansion on Park Lane Circle being modelled on the Palace of Versailles, it’s clear that the residents of Bridle Path have a cultured eye for the world’s best things.”

York Mills-Windfields has the country’s highest average house price, at $3.40 million.

Other Vancouver neighbourhoods in the top 25 were No. 7 Kerrisdale (average net worth of $10.59 million, house price of $2.79 million), No. 11 Kerrisdale Park ($9.26 million and $1.89 million), No. 13 West Bay and Sandy Cove ($8.19 million, $2.90 million) in West Vancouver, and No. 14 Shaughnessy Centre ($7.82 million, $2.47 million).

Winnipeg and Calgary also had neighbourhoods in the top 25 for 2014.

The magazine’s rankings are based off its calculated average household net worth for each postal code – “the total net worth of all the households in each neighbourhood, divided by the total number of households,” it says.

“Net worth figures are compiled using publicly available census data as well as Environics Analytics market intelligence… The neighbourhoods themselves are defined by Statistics Canada.”

Source: Kolby Solinsky – BC Local News

Canadian property prices set to rise 5.7%

Tuesday, July 8th, 2014

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has updated its forecast for home sales activity and prices for 2014 and 2015.

Little is expected to change on the sales front but nationally average home prices are expected to increase by 5.7% in 2014 but by such 0.7% in 2015.

The CREA report says that an extraordinarily bleak winter resulted in slow start to 2014 national sales activity. As the first quarter ended, sales momentum heading into spring was constrained by a continuing shortage of listings in a number of local markets. However, the rise in newly listed properties in April and May supported an increase in sales activity.

Overall, the deferral of sales and listings reflects a delayed start to the spring home buying season, with combined sales for the period from March to May coming in largely as anticipated and at average levels. These deferrals are now likely to have been largely depleted, which suggests that the strength of sales momentum heading into the summer may be transient.

CREA’s forecast for sales activity in 2014 is largely unchanged from its previous forecast published in March. At that time, interest rates had been expected to start to edge higher in the second half of the year. However, it now appears that interest rates may not begin to rise until closer to the end of the year, which remains supportive for home ownership affordability over the balance of 2014.

Sales are forecast to reach 463,400 units in 2014, representing an increase of 1.2% compared to 2013. This is little changed from CREA’s forecast of 463,700 sales, a rise of 1.3%, published in March.

Activity is still expected to remain in line with its 10 year average and to hold within fairly short reach of 450,000 units for the seventh consecutive year.

British Columbia is forecast to post the largest year on year increase in activity at 8.3% and make the biggest contribution to the increase in national sales activity. B.C.’s projected increase in sales this year largely reflects a slow start to 2013.

Alberta’s annual sales are projected to rise by 3.8% in 2014, while activity in Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Ontario is expected to be roughly in line with 2013 levels. Sales are forecast to fall by 1.7% in Quebec, by 4.2% in New Brunswick, by 5.1% in Nova Scotia, and by 2.6% in Newfoundland and Labrador.

In 2015, the outlook for the economy, jobs and incomes is one of further improvement, accompanied by a slow and gradual increase in fixed and variable mortgage interest rates.

On balance, these two opposing factors should most benefit housing markets where sales are currently softer but prices remain more affordable. Sales in relatively less affordable housing markets are likely to be more sensitive to higher fixed mortgage rates, whether from the standpoint of higher monthly mortgage payments or qualification for mortgage financing based on the posted five year mortgage interest rate.

As such, provinces east of Ontario are expected to post the largest gains in activity in 2015 in the range of around 2.5% to 5% while sales in provinces from British Columbia to Ontario are forecast to remain little changed.

National activity is now forecast to reach 467,800 units in 2015, representing a further annual increase of 0.9%. This would result in sales staying in line with the 10 year average for the eighth year in a row.

Average prices have remained firm and continue to reflect a rise in the share of national sales among some of Canada’s most active and expensive markets compared to last year. Additionally, prices have been heating up in some markets, particularly in Calgary and Toronto where single family properties remain in short supply.

The national average home price is now projected to rise by 5.7% to $404,300 in 2014, with similar sized gains in British Columbia, Alberta, and Ontario. More modest changes in average prices are forecast for all other provinces this year.

The national average price is forecast to edge up a further 0.7% in 2015 to $407,300. Alberta and Manitoba are forecast to post average price gains of2% in 2015, followed closely by Ontario at 1.2%. Average prices in all other provinces are forecast to remain stable, edging up by less than 1%.

Source: PropertyWire

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